SATURDAY, 10 OCTOBER 2026

Opinion · Retail

Why minutes delivery now decides festive winners

The 29 per cent projected jump in online sales will go to whoever owns the last three kilometres, not the deepest discount.

, Editorial··4 min read

Empty delivery scooter parked beside stacked crates on a quiet urban lane at dawn
Empty delivery scooter parked beside stacked crates on a quiet urban lane at dawn

Online festive sales are projected to reach up to ₹1.55 trillion, a 29 per cent rise, with quick commerce taking 16 per cent share, up from 12 per cent. Flipkart Minutes and Amazon Now are the explicit bets. The opening-day numbers already show shoppers will pay for speed on phones and fashion alike.

The old festive playbook of heavy MRP cuts and long delivery windows is fading. Shoppers in metros now treat a 30-minute electronics drop as table stakes. That shifts capital from pure marketing to dark stores, riders and pin-code density.

A kirana that once competed on credit and proximity now loses the impulse grocery basket to the quick-commerce rider. The same pressure hits traditional multi-brand apparel outlets when Myntra or Flipkart can promise next-hour fashion.

Quick commerce is expected to account for 16 per cent of festive sales, up from 12 per cent.

Reliance’s hyper-local network and the pure-play quick-commerce trio gain; slower marketplaces and pure D2C sites without inventory nodes lose. Sellers who cannot meet the speed SLA simply drop out of the festive assortment.

The next ten days until peak Diwali will reveal whether the minutes promise holds at scale or buckles under volume. Any public update on dark-store count or delivery SLA breaches will set the tone for the rest of the season.

Filed under Retail·The Desk

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